Like tennis, betting on basketball does not take into account draws. You are therefore theoretically less likely to be wrong.
The regular season allows you to bet on basketball without taking too much risk. Wait until you see the teams that stand out and bet on them.
You should know that conference leaders win between 6 and 7 out of 10 games while the last ones do not win more than 2 out of 10. By betting on the defeat of a team which is at the end of the ranking, you will have pretty little chance of losing.
In the play-offs, it’s more complicated, because the teams tend to answer each other. Very few confrontations are one-sided. It is not uncommon for teams to need 7 games to decide. The only difficulty is to find the rhythm of the victories. Are we going to have a crossover? Will a gap widen quickly? At this point, your basketball expertise is very important.
Over / Under on the number of points
In the NBA, rare are the meetings where the teams register less than 100 points each. It does exist, but the odds are clearly in your favor. As a general rule, more than 200 points are scored per game. So you can make an NBA bet on it.
The 200-point threshold takes into account a large number of possible scenarios , whether it is very large wins (eg 120-85) or close matches (110-105). If you spot an encounter with big markers, you are sure that the 200 points will be reached fairly quickly.
With this type of bet, betting on American basketball becomes child’s play. You will be able to make some profits without taking a lot of risks. Over / Under predictions on the number of points in a meeting can be taken both for the regular season and the finals without any real distinction.
Special bets on NBA players
One of the more interesting NBA bets in this category is about the number of points scored per player. In a meeting, except disaster, the major players always score a lot, and this whatever the result of their team.
In the 2018-2019 season, LeBron James averaged 27.4 points per game while the Los Angeles Lakers did not even reach the conference play-offs James Harden has scored more than 30 points in 32 consecutive games.
Here is an original way to bet on basketball: you don’t have to know who will win, which is a real plus if you bet during the play-offs where there are many reversals of situations. Also handy if you are a beginner.
Gap between teams
The success of this type of prediction depends a lot on the state of mind of the two teams at the time of the meeting. In the regular season, even in the absence of relegation, teams do not engage easily
In the 2018-2019 fiscal year, the Knicks (last in the Eastern Conference) rarely lost more than 20 points. The teams fight to the end. Due to the very high number of matches, it is possible to return to the race for qualifying for the play-offs.
In the final phase, the gaps are around 10/15 points in most cases. You can therefore try to bet on a spread of less than 20 points. This happens very often in matches between 2 fit teams that are worn by a major player.
